SpendingPulse: Total U.S. Retail Sales for April Up 8.8% Year-over-Year

2011-05-11
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  • Restaurant News Resource Highest Unadjusted Year-over-Year Growth Rate since May 2006


    SpendingPulse™

    Data Source:

            A macroeconomic indicator, SpendingPulse reports on national retail and services sales and is based on aggregate sales activity in the MasterCard payments network, coupled with survey-based estimates for all other payment forms, including cash and check. MasterCard SpendingPulse does not represent MasterCard financial performance. SpendingPulse is provided by MasterCard Advisors, the professional services arm of MasterCard Worldwide.

    MasterCard Advisors’ SpendingPulse, a macroeconomic report tracking national retail and service sales, today provided summary results for April 2011. Excluding auto sales, total retail sales grew by 8.8% year-over-year, stronger than March’s growth rate, and substantially higher than the average 7.1% year-to-year growth rate of the previous quarter. Spending on gasoline has helped drive overall sales figures to some extent, but retail sales ex-gasoline show few signs of abating.

    While seasonally adjusted retail sales fell in April by 0.1% month-to-month, this may be more of an indication of fluctuating gas prices than the overall state of retail spend. Seasonally adjusted retail sales excluding both autos and gasoline were up by 1.4% in April, the fourth straight month of growth.

    Kamalesh Rao, Director of Economic Research for MasterCard Advisors SpendingPulse, noted: “We have not seen this sort of sustained growth in retail sales since late 2005/early 2006, when the economy was in much better shape and the unemployment rate was more than 4% below its current level. Today, the general state of the labor market and a mixed economic environment suggests that the current rate of retail expansion could be vulnerable, especially given the weight of higher fuel costs on discretionary spending. Additional momentum in the labor market could offset that uncertainty.”

    Sectors showing positive results in April included eCommerce, Luxury, Apparel, Groceries and Travel, both in the Airlines and Lodging categories. Weaker segments included Furniture and Furnishings, Hardware, Electronics and Department Stores.

    Spending grew in every part of the country, with the best unadjusted year-over-year results in the Pacific and Southwest regions, respectively posting 13.2% and 12.2% growth.

               

    U.S. Retail Sales, Unadjusted Year/Year %Change

    U.S. Retail Sales       April 2011       March 2011
    Total Retail Ex Auto       +8.8%       +8.0%
    Total Ex Auto Ex Gas       +6.7%       +6.2%
     
               

    U.S. Retail Sales, Seasonally Adjusted for April

    U.S. Retail Sales      

    % Change Over
    Prior Month

         

    % Change Over
    Prior Year

    Total Retail Ex Auto       -0.1%       +7.2%
    Total Ex Auto Ex Gas       +1.4%       +6.3%
     

    About MasterCard Advisors

    MasterCard Advisors provides payments consulting, information, analytics, and customized services to financial institutions, merchants and businesses worldwide. Addressing complex challenges in strategy, marketing, risk, and operations, MasterCard Advisors helps clients maximize the value of their payments businesses. As the professional services arm of MasterCard Worldwide, MasterCard Advisors is uniquely qualified to provide clients with insights and solutions that drive tangible impact and financial gain. For more information, go to www.mastercardadvisors.com.

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